We have all seen it happen. The guy(or gal) with pocket aces pushes all in after the flop, gets a couple of callers and is then forced to watch the river card crack another pair of aces. I had something similar happen last night. In my opinion, a bit uglier. I should also start this by noting what is described below happened early in a tournament while the ratio of good:bad players is probably 1:5.
After flopping top two pair(jacks and nines) my opponent bet out with $500. I pushed all in figuring he held AJ or KJ. Sure enough he had AJ and we then both watched the dealer peel off running Qs, effectively counterfieting my hand and sending me to the parking lot. Could that hand have been played differently? What if I waited to the turn?
Waiting to push after the turn card may provide you a much better picture where you stand and also give you the ability to do the right thing and lay your pre-turn monster down. I think we are all pre-programmed to push all in pre-flop or after smashing a flop. What about pushing after the turn?
Before making this decision you must size up your opponent. The turn card was a Q. Against an experienced player, a push after the turn may be the right move as his top pair top kicker has just been squashed. AJ would be an easy laydown. Against a less experienced player, they are most likely not going to get off the hand. They don’t see the queen. They are not calculating their outs. Which by the way are now 10 (if I put them on AJ or KJ). Pushing here has now gone from a dominating position to somewhat of a gamble. Not something you want to put your tournament life on.
Your success in this game is not determined by the hands you win; but the hands you fold. Putting your ego aside and making big laydowns(when necessary) should be an essential part of your game if you play on going deep and cashing in large field tournaments. If you think you may be beat…you probably are. You can always win the chips back…you cannot rebuy into the tournament.
Next time I feel the urge to push all my chips into the middle post flop, I think I am going to get a better understanding of where I stand and wait for that turn card.